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A "Super" El Niño is coming. What is it?
The 2026 El Nino event is predicted to be one of the largest events in a long time.
Summarized by AIBETA
A potentially historic Super El Niño—with a >90% chance of forming in late 2026—could reshuffle global weather, bringing flooding or droughts, disrupting agriculture (e.g., coffee, cocoa), and raising wildfire risks, though its full impact remains uncertain as scientists monitor evolving conditions.
The event described in this article is currently ongoing. Should something change, we will try our best to edit this article. Please fact check.
*This article was last updated on Tuesday, 15 September 2026.
A potentially historic Super El Nino is developing in the Pacific Ocean during 2026. El Niño occurs when unusually warm ocean water develops across the central and eastern tropical Pacific, influencing weather patterns around the world. NOAA currently gives a greater than 90% chance of a very strong El Niño during late 2026, with a significant possibility that it could reach historic strength.
A Super El Nino can cause major changes in weather. Some regions may experience heavier rainfall and flooding, while others may face drought, heat, or increased wildfire risk. In the United States, California could see a wetter winter, although the exact amount and location of precipitation remain uncertain.
The effects could also extend beyond weather. Strong El Nino events can disrupt agriculture because crops such as coffee, cocoa, and sugar depend heavily on predictable rainfall and temperatures. These disruptions can affect food supplies and prices around the world.
Scientists will continue monitoring ocean temperatures and atmospheric conditions throughout the rest of 2026 and into 2027. While forecasts suggest this could become an unusually strong El Nino, the exact impacts will depend on how the event develops over the coming months.